What
are the main factors that will influence the evolution of relations
between the European Union and the Russian Federation?
Introduction:
Start with a reference to a recent development regarding the
relationship to show your knowledge regarding the question and the
Italian position. Explain why a good relationship with Russia is
important to the EU and Italy in particular.
Line
of argument: This essay will argue that Italy and the EU need to
strike a balance in relations with Russia between exerting pressure
on Russia to modify its position on the Ukraine and Georgia questions
and to refrain from interference in EU affairs, while at the same
time reassuring Russia that Europe continues to want a strong
relationship with the Russian Federation, one built on mutual
interest and rebuilding trust, close economic ties and cooperation in
dealing with global threats.
Explain
what Western hopes were regarding Russia at the end of the Cold War
and how these were disappointed. Russia's evolution over the past 30
years. Outline how the desire to escape from the Russian sphere of
influence led the ex-Soviet satellite states to join NATO and the EU
and how this is viewed in Moscow. Then, the gradual reassertion of
Russian influence in Eastern Europe and elsewhere, Transnistria,
Georgia, Ukraine and its evolution into an authoritarian state with
ambitions to play a greater role in world affairs, e.g. in Syria,
Libya and elsewhere.
Explain
the US and EU reaction to the Ukraine questions, the sanctions, the
NATO Enhanced Forward Presence mission. Explain the EU and Italy's
difficulty in balancing the need for a stable relationship with
Russia as an economic and security partner with the need to reassure
EU Eastern European members about their future security and not to
ignore the occupation of parts of Ukraine and the human and civil
rights violations in Russia. Quote Mogherini and/or Conte on
EU-Russia relations. You could mention the US role in all this and
the ambivalent stance of the Trump administration and the need to
strengthen the European Defence Agency (with PESCO).
Finish by pointing out that despite the problems
and real challenges that the relationship involves cooperation and
dialogue are necessary to both sides and relations are obviously much
better than during the Cold War.
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