Is
populism a threat to the liberal international order?
Introduction: Start with a reference to one or two
recent developments relating to the question to show you are up to
date on the issue e.g. the election of Trump, both Macron and the
Yellow Vest movement, Bolsonaro, Brexit, new political groups in
Germany, Austria, Spain, (Italy?) etc...
Line
of argument:
This essay will argue that the threat to the liberal international
order is not populism itself but the unresolved causes of populism.
Introduction:
Give a definition of populism – for, example your own or the one by
the Dutch political scientist Cas Mudde who argues that it it is not
based simply on emotional rhetoric and is not a temporary
opportunistic phenomenon or a detailed ideology but instead has two
essential characteristics. First, it divides the political world into
the 'people' and the political élite, which is corrupt and pursues
its own interests rather than those of the people. Second, populists
believe that politics should be the expression of the 'general will'
of the people (a rather frightening concept if one thinks of the
French Revolution!)
Causes
of the rise of populism – the failure of traditional parties of the
Right and Left to guarantee the prosperity (employment and a moderate
rise in incomes) that they had previously guaranteed for the middle
and lower classes. The loss of manufacturing jobs in developed
economies and stagnant salaries and growing income inequality. The
lack of employment opportunities for the younger generation,
unemployment or underemployment (the Yellow Vest movement).
Anger with rising immigration, seen as competition, a downward
pressure on incomes and a threat to identity.
Consequences
– growing disillusion, scepticism and cynicism regarding the
political élite, 'political correctness' anger with the traditional
parties, seen as self-interested or simply unable to respond to these
challenges, and an anger with international bodies, such as the EU or
UN, the WTO and IMF (for example, the anti-globalization
movement)
also seen as too expensive, too far from the people and corrupt or
not interested in the problems of ordinary people or simply
irrelevant. This has often led to the rise of 'anti-system'
movements, a return to nationalism, a political arena that populists
believe can be controlled by the people (give examples. The new
populists, however, often have little experience of government, and
this has led to to instability in both domestic politics (give an
example) and foreign relations e.g. Trump and NATO allies, Trump and
China, recent relations between Italy and France and a weakening of
the existing international institutions as the US seems to refuse to
want to continue to be the guarantor of the system.
Conclusion
– all this is a real threat to international cooperation and the
effectiveness of international institutions, given that populist
movements tend to prioritize national issues and solutions, at a time
when many of our problems are of a global, or at least international
nature and can only be successfully dealt with at that level.
However, the problem is not populism itself but the underlying causes
which seem to be our failure at the national, regional (EU) and
global level to manage the economic and social effects of
globalization in a way that reassures people about social stability
and their prospects and their children's prospects for the future.
A
possible essay plan on the role of the new media in international
affairs.
Introduction:
Start with a reference to one or two recent examples of social media
and their use and effect on international affairs. Then give a fairly
broad definition of the new media to include the Internet, everything
on it that aims at communicating news and ideas, social media, smart
phones, tablets and PCs as ways of accessing the Internet, forwarding
and exchanging information and satellite TV.
Line
of argument:
This essay will argue that the rise of the new media was greeted as
an advance towards a more democratic society that would allow people
to communicate freely across the world and to play a greater role in
politics and international relations. This optimism has now given way
to fears about the misuse of the Web and social media by terrorists,
organized crime and groups or governments seeking to spread fake
news, disinformation and propaganda to mold and manipulate public
opinion. However, the ICT revolution is irreversible and states, laws
and individuals will have to adapt to it and the public will have to
become more skilled at checking the source of information more
carefully.
Explain
that most people with access to the new media now get their
information from a mix of sources, traditional media like TV, web
service providers like Yahoo, social media like Facebook and Twitter
and specific web sites
and groups that they go to or join. This means that organizations,
universities, government ministries, public figures and private
companies as well as the traditional media (TV networks and
newspapers) have all had to go online in order to communicate with
the public (voters, customers or students), promote their activities
and defend themselves. This has led to a more transparent and
responsive society
This
is true for the Foreign Ministry and the diplomatic corps too. Make
this the focus of your essay? This offers great opportunities for
rapid communication within the service and with foreign governments
and embassies, in explaining Italy's position on an issue to the
global public, for providing services to nationals abroad and
foreigners, for cultural diplomacy and for networking in economic
diplomacy. However, it has also made the work of diplomats more
difficult because of the pressure on diplomats for instant reaction
to breaking news, the difficulty of conducting quiet diplomacy and
the danger of whistle-blowing – the Bradley Manning case, the
Edward Snowden case and the Palestine papers case and role satellite
TV broadcaster, Al Jazeera).
Of course the last may also be seen as the mark of a free society,
depending on your point of view about the particular case and
information released.
Explain
with clear examples from current affairs how internet and the social
media can create open web communities where users can link up and
become better informed about specific questions, and that this is
particularly important to dissident groups in a society where access
to information via the traditional media may be in the hands of the
government (Egypt during the Arab spring, also role of satellite TV).
Point out that in the end it can assist but can not substitute direct
action.
Explain
that Internet and social media can also be used by closed web
communities like terrorists to recruit and indoctrinate. Give
examples, e.g. ISIS. It can also be used by criminal organizations.
Give examples, e.g. from
hiring
a hitman on Facebook
in Peru to scams and cybercrime involving stealing credit details or
industrial espionage. It
can also be used by groups or countries seeking to spread fake news
and manipulate public opinion, the alleged interference in the 2016
US elections by Russia. Point out that governments in one-party or
authoritarian states can use the web for propaganda purposes and to
infiltrate groups on the social media to monitor or entrap users
(China, Russia and Venezuela and 1984). They can even close down
sites and have become more skilled in blocking the social media and
access to Internet completely if they feel threatened (China, North
Korea).
Conclusion:
The Internet and social media are here to stay and as their potential
for good and bad becomes clearer, free societies and individuals will
have to work and become more sophisticated to take advantage of the
opportunities they offer without becoming the victims of those who
aim to use ICTs in order to mislead, indoctrinate or spy on them.
Governments, international bodies, web service providers like Yahoo
and social media like Facebook and Twitter will all have to become
more responsible and, above all, more effective in monitoring content
and activity on the new media without imposing unjustified censorship
or surveillance. If we fail to do this effectively we face a bleak
future in which either many naive IT users continue to be misled or
our freedom may be restricted in a 1984-style scenario.
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