domenica 2 novembre 2025

What is the role of the BRICS+ group in international relations?

 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/17th_BRICS_summit

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Member_states_of_BRICS

https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/BRICS

https://brics.br/en/news/brics-gdp-outperforms-global-average-accounts-for-40-of-world-economy

https://aggrp.in/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Analysis-Report-BRICS-2025-August-2025.pdf

https://www.statista.com/statistics/254281/gdp-of-the-bric-countries/?srsltid=AfmBOopocZsVaLG4PFapoAXNGVN56Npk7h9-3fStseffNR4yJfeeAa84

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1412425/gdp-ppp-share-world-gdp-g7-brics/#:~:text=The%20BRICS%20countries%20overtook%20the,held%20by%20the%20G7%20countries.

But https://www.visualcapitalist.com/charted-how-brics-stacks-up-against-the-g7-economies/

https://www.habtoorresearch.com/programmes/brics-summit-2025/

https://eastasiaforum.org/2025/10/25/brics-multipolar-aspirations-navigate-asymmetries-of-power/

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/03/brics-expansion-and-the-future-of-world-order-perspectives-from-member-states-partners-and-aspirants?lang=en

http://en.people.cn/n3/2025/0109/c90000-20263624.html

https://www.csis.org/blogs/latest-southeast-asia/latest-southeast-asia-indonesia-joins-brics

https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/joining-brics-indonesia-sticks-with-multi-alignment-strategy/

https://eastasiaforum.org/2025/02/04/indonesias-bold-step-into-brics-and-beyond/

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-sits-fence-over-brics-with-eye-vital-ties-with-us-2025-05-08/

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/what-brics-group-and-why-it-expanding

https://www.stimson.org/2025/2025-brics-summit-takeaways-and-projections/

https://www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicazione/brics-pay-la-nuova-infrastruttura-finanziaria-del-mondo-multipolare-214174

https://www.ispionline.it/it/pubblicazione/se-un-brics-non-fa-primavera-143447 from 2023 but covers some of the main points

https://claws.co.in/brics-vs-g7-can-they-truly-be-compared/ perhaps the basis for an essay

also good https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/brics-summit-emerging-middle-powers-g7-g20?lang=en

and this is a good summary of the positive aspects of the BRICS+ group, although it needs to be balanced by a more critical analysis https://www.bcg.com/publications/2024/brics-enlargement-and-shifting-world-order

but remember

https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/31533560504257

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)_per_capita

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/charted-how-brics-stacks-up-against-the-g7-economies/

https://www.bcg.com/publications/2024/brics-enlargement-and-shifting-world-order from last year, this is a good summary of the positive aspects of the BRICS+ group, although it needs to be balanced by a more critical analysis.

 

Some points made at the SIOI conference, 15 December 2023,The BRICS+ and multilateralism’

 

Intra-BRICS trade is still relatively low, although they all do a lot of trade with China. The BRICS+ recognize the need to strengthen it and overcome existing barriers https://www.bricsforum.in/media-center/news/brics-virtual-summit-strengthens-push-for-intra-bloc-trade-amid-global-protectionism-26


 FDIs towards the BRICS are mainly from the West and China.
 
De-dollarization (in favour of a new reserve currency, or the Chinese currency or trading mainly in the currencies of the group) would make them less open to Western sanctions, fluctuations in the value of the dollar and changes in the interest rate on their public debts. However, it hasn’t happened yet and seems hard to achieve. Most trade in a reserve currency is still in dollars with a slight growth in trade in the Euro.
There’s a need to change the voting rights quotas at the IMF.
 
The New Development Bank is not as powerful as the IMF and mainly deals with economic programs between the members rather than with the poor countries of the Global South.
 
The BRICS still have no real institutional structure as an international organization or founding treaty but regular meetings and cooperation in many fields.
 
Is there a kind of irreversible competition or a decoupling (or a new Cold War) between the BRICS and the G7 (the West/G7+)? Not really, this division was real in the Cold War, not now. There’s an interdependence in economic terms and in many others.
 
So do the BRICS represent a new order or disorder or a fragmentation of the existing international order? Can the BRICS+ help to reverse this fragmentation or will they accelerate it?
The main historic change in GDP terms is China’s economic expansion and to some extent India’s, not that of the others. In PPP terms, however, the total GDP of the BRICS+ as a percentage of global GDP PPP is now significantly larger than that of the G7, so the economic institutions need to be reformed to reflect this.

 



 

Last BRICS summit declarations

https://brics.br/en/news/brics-summit-signs-historic-commitment-in-rio-for-more-inclusive-and-sustainable-governance

link to text to download https://brics.br/en/documents/presidency-documents/250705-brics-leaders-declaration-en.pdf

China and Africa

https://www.theguardian.com/news/2025/sep/17/chinas-emerging-superpower-status-relies-on-africa-and-the-caribbean-but-is-all-as-it-seems

https://theconversation.com/why-china-is-seeking-greater-presence-in-africa-the-strategy-behind-its-financial-deals-238468

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Africa%E2%80%93China_economic_relations#:~:text=China%20commonly%20funds%20the%20construction,or%20hydrocarbons%2C%20such%20as%20oil.

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/06/why-strong-regional-value-chains-will-be-vital-to-the-next-chapter-of-china-and-africas-economic-relationship/

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/05/how-is-chinas-economic-transition-affecting-its-relations-with-africa?lang=en

https://africacenter.org/spotlight/china-united-front-africa/

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/9/6/as-china-africa-woo-each-other-who-gains-more-its-complex-say-experts

India and Africa

https://www.cii.in/International_ResearchPDF/India%20Africa%20Report%202025.pdf

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-africa-should-target-usd-200-bn-trade-in-next-7-years-piyush-goyal/articleshow/112684469.cms?from=mdr

https://africacenter.org/spotlight/africa-india-cooperation-benchmark-partnership/#:~:text=India%2DAfrica%20trade%20has%20grown,the%20European%20Union%20and%20China.

Russia and Africa

https://aecweek.com/russia-expands-energy-partnerships-across-africa-to-meet-rising-demand/

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/01/18/africa/russia-expanding-influence-in-africa-intl-cmd

https://www.pressenza.com/2025/08/south-africa-continues-playing-russian-roulette/

The EU and the BRICS

https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2024/760368/EPRS_BRI(2024)760368_EN.pdf

https://infobrics.org/en/post/66517

https://bst-europe.eu/europe-in-the-world/brics-summit-highlights-need-to-improve-strategic-eu-global-south-ties/
The old BRICS economies

https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/topics/economy/asia-pacific/india-economic-outlook.html

https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/china-economic-outlook-september-2025/

https://www.bbvaresearch.com/en/publicaciones/brazil-economic-outlook-october-2025/

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/14/imf-cuts-russias-2025-economic-forecast-again-a90809

https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/oecd-economic-outlook-volume-2025-issue-1_83363382-en/full-report/south-africa_6945dfbc.html

BRICS cooperation

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/03/brics-expansion-and-the-future-of-world-order-perspectives-from-member-states-partners-and-aspirants?lang=en

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/brics-summit-emerging-middle-powers-g7-g20?lang=en   good balanced view

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/jul/05/leaders-of-russia-and-china-snub-brics-summit-in-sign-groups-value-may-be-waning

https://carleton.ca/eetn/2025/the-2025-brics-summit-divisions-or-unity/

Voting at the UN

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/brics-expansion-as-non-west-consolidation/

https://saiia.org.za/research/a-global-rebalance/

https://www.voanews.com/a/south-africa-criticized-for-abstaining-on-un-ukraine-resolution/6468748.html

The New Development Bank 

https://www.cadtm.org/Are-the-New-Development-Bank-and-the-BRICS-Monetary-Fund-an-alternative-to-the Look at the graph!

Disputes and tensions

https://trendsresearch.org/insight/rivalry-within-unity-the-impact-of-india-china-competition-on-the-future-of-brics/?srsltid=AfmBOorqRb3znrp5o5mlgRlDuGp_aJheYZu3ba67zW9Hh6aETaATbZoa

https://responsiblestatecraft.org/brics-expansion/

https://warontherocks.com/2025/09/the-limits-of-rapprochement-between-india-and-china/

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/how-china-india-relations-will-shape-asia-and-global-order/summary click on all sections

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/how-china-india-relations-will-shape-asia-and-global-order/evolution-border-dispute

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4924989-china-still-challenges-india-in-the-himalayas-as-brics-summit-approaches/

An alternative world order?

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/03/brics-expansion-and-the-future-of-world-order-perspectives-from-member-states-partners-and-aspirants?lang=en

https://www.iris-france.org/186913-brics-towards-a-new-international-order/

https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/10/brics-summit-emerging-middle-powers-g7-g20?lang=en

Human rights

https://www.amnesty.org/en/location/asia-and-the-pacific/east-asia/china/report-china/

https://www.amnesty.org/en/location/europe-and-central-asia/eastern-europe-and-central-asia/russia/

https://www.amnesty.org/en/location/africa/southern-africa/south-africa/

https://www.amnesty.org/en/location/asia-and-the-pacific/south-asia/india/report-india/

https://www.amnesty.org/en/location/americas/south-america/brazil/
BRICS and economic development
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Development_Bank
https://www.ndb.int/
https://mg.co.za/thought-leader/2024-06-27-alternative-payment-systems-in-africa-and-brics-member-states-can-shift-geoeconomic-dynamics/

https://www.bcg.com/publications/2024/brics-enlargement-and-shifting-world-order

The existing world order
The Bretton Woods Conference of 1944 created the basis for a cooperative global economic system to stabilize the world economy, a system which soon included the United States, Canada, Western European countries, Japan and Australia and later many other states (see 
the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Trade Organisation (WTO) which was created later in the early 1990s). It expanded to include Eastern European members of the former Communist bloc after the end of the Cold War and the economic change of direction in China. In parallel, the United Nations, created in 1945, was, and is, a second attempt at the Wilsonian vision of a rule-based international political order able to prevent or rapidly resolve international conflicts of the kind that led to the two world wars. The UN is also committed to the protection and promotion of human rights.

Some questions to consider:
Do the BRICS countries intend to challenge the existing world order?
Do the BRICS intend to undermine, subvert or take control of this economic/political order?
Or do they want to create a parallel alternative to it or simply to play a greater role within it
?
Do they see the world order as too dominated by the US, the dollar as the main exchange currency, and its political or military allies?
Do they want a more multipolar system? A less Western-values-based order? Would this legitimize autocracy? Or a system where state sovereignty is paramount?
Do they share objectives as a group or does each of them have its own goals, only cooperating when it is to its advantage?
Will its expansion to include other resource rich countries give them the means to steer the international order?

Does the group represent a threat to human rights? What do the BRICS mean by human rights?
What evidence can you offer in responding to these questions?

Some tentative (provisional) conclusions (2025)

The BRICS seem to be able to vote with a fair degree of quiet unity at the UN (using abstentions on votes on Ukraine, for example) and if they expand to include other resource-rich developing counties will clearly gain in both economic and political influence. The real question for the future is whether this will lend more support to authoritarianism at the expense of democracy and human rights.
However, one should note that the BRICS are not really like the old Communist bloc, which defined itself by its opposition to the West and to capitalism. (Perhaps politically it has so far been more similar to the old Non-Aligned Movement of the Cold War period, of which India was a member – at least until Russia and China’s increasingly proactive foreign policy). Economically, there is no clear division between the ‘West’ and the BRICS. In both groups we find a range of approaches to managing the economy, those that adopt a more free-market approach, those that believe in government supervision and those that believe in a welfare state – and varying proportions of all three. Politically, as with the rest of the world, the BRICS countries have their national interests and will no doubt seek to protect them, but there is no basic ideological division between the West and the BRICS regarding economics. China is hardly recognizable today as a ‘Communist’ state in terms of economic policy. China and Russia are authoritarian states but they are also part of an international community in theory still based on Western liberal free-market and democratic values that they do not wish to challenge publicly (although they may violate them) and which shows no real signs of losing its appeal to the majority of people around the world despite the increase in the number of authoritarian regimes. Brazil, South Africa and India are active supporters of this community’s values. As indicated previously, Bolsonaro was a populist authoritarian figure who aligned with Putin but lost the 2022 election to former president Lula da Silva. So the challenge represented by the BRICS is probably best expressed in economic terms rather than in a situation arising that will necessarily lead to a political clash. Developing economies are becoming less dependent on developed economies and the institutions that they dominate,  Here China,  Russia and Brazil certainly say that they want the BRICS to represent an alternative model to the West’s (the IMF and World Bank) one that represents the Global South.
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/08/28/china/china-brics-expansion-victory-intl-hnk/index.html
In fact, some optimistic commentators hope that both Russia and China will ultimately conform to liberal values in the long term, evolving slowly towards a more democratic and rights-based society, however unlikely this seems in 2025, given their tightening of authoritarian domestic controls and territorial claims in recent years. This at least is the position of most of those who favor relaunching cooperation, where possible, over confrontation. In their opinion, a more multipolar world with a more diffuse leadership does not necessarily mean a weaker West, but perhaps simply a more inclusive and wider definition of that idea. At the same time, we may see the BRICS acting together on crucial economic issues, and also negatively to block, discourage or restrain what they may see as Western adventurism as regards military interventions (perhaps proposed ‘for humanitarian purposes’) in other countries (such as those in Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya)  or to protect their partners from criticism, but much less able to agree a positive, proactive line in foreign policy due to their different political systems and priorities. Their cooperation could prove valuable in areas where the US is no longer willing to get involved. For instance, during the Trump administration the BRICS remained supporters of efforts to save the Iran deal.
Other experts point to the reaction of its BRICS partners to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. They have called for restraint by both sides and a peaceful solution to the conflict, in line with the traditional policy of the BRICS, but voted against or abstained from votes criticizing Russia for invading an independent sovereign state. Such open or tacit support for Russia may be ideological on China’s part, in favor of authoritarian government, but simply economic on the part of India and South Africa, both wanting to secure their energy supplies. Brazil’s position may have partly reflected Bolsonaro’s sympathy for authoritarianism but with president Lula just the continued desire to cooperate with Russia as an energy supplier.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/05/09/brazils-lula-pitches-strategic-partnership-with-russia-a89034

https://feps-europe.eu/brics-2025-brazils-balancing-act/

China also seems to be quietly helping Russia by offering an alternative to the SWIFT payment system

https://caliber.az/en/post/china-launches-quiet-alternative-to-swift-says-russian-official

and by continuing its energy imports

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3329705/chinas-crude-oil-imports-russia-rise-september-despite-us-pressure

but problems with infrastructure make it unlikely that China will be able to increase imports of gas in the short term.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-pipeline-deal-with-china-seen-taking-decade-boost-exports-2025-10-07/

So cooperation among the BRICS may be less a question of principle and more one of a general opposition to political interference or sanctions from a Western-led or dominated international community and a determination to have greater influence and freedom in the economic field within the international community and its institutions. Beyond that, however, each member of the BRICS may simply want the freedom to focus on its own priorities in foreign policy with or without its BRICS partners. India, for example, is also part of the Quad group, aimed at containing China’s increasing military presence in the Indo-Pacific area.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadrilateral_Security_Dialogue
https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dialogo_quadrilaterale_di_sicurezza
https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/07/2025-quad-foreign-ministers-meeting

https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-quad-critical-minerals-initiative

https://www.vifindia.org/article/2025/october/31/Minerals-at-the-Frontline-India%20and-Quad-s-Critical-Minerals-Initiative

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